President Trump's state visit to Beijing for bilateral meetings with Xi Jinping on May 13-15, including a state banquet and discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, marks his first major foreign leader engagement of 2026 and signals an active diplomatic schedule fueling trader optimism. Leading market probabilities reflect this momentum: Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni at 88% due to NATO alliance priorities and early-year contacts; Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 70% amid Gulf security talks; UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer at 55% following King Charles III's April state visit. Vladimir Putin's 45% odds hinge on potential G20 Miami invitations despite Ukraine sanctions, while low probabilities for Kim Jong Un (15%) and others like MrBeast (23%) lack supporting signals. The June 15-17 G7 summit and later G20 present pivotal opportunities to shift consensus before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$479,994 Vol.
Giorgia Meloni
88%
Mohammed bin Salman
65%
Keir Starmer
63%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
46%
Vladimir Putin
45%
Aleksandr Lukashenko
42%
Papa León XIV
23%
MrBeast
22%
Changpeng Zhao
19%
Kim Jong Un
15%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Nicolás Maduro
10%
iShowSpeed
9%
Nick Fuentes
7%
Lai Ching-te
6%
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%
$479,994 Vol.
Giorgia Meloni
88%
Mohammed bin Salman
65%
Keir Starmer
63%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
46%
Vladimir Putin
45%
Aleksandr Lukashenko
42%
Papa León XIV
23%
MrBeast
22%
Changpeng Zhao
19%
Kim Jong Un
15%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Nicolás Maduro
10%
iShowSpeed
9%
Nick Fuentes
7%
Lai Ching-te
6%
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's state visit to Beijing for bilateral meetings with Xi Jinping on May 13-15, including a state banquet and discussions on trade, Taiwan, and Iran, marks his first major foreign leader engagement of 2026 and signals an active diplomatic schedule fueling trader optimism. Leading market probabilities reflect this momentum: Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni at 88% due to NATO alliance priorities and early-year contacts; Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 70% amid Gulf security talks; UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer at 55% following King Charles III's April state visit. Vladimir Putin's 45% odds hinge on potential G20 Miami invitations despite Ukraine sanctions, while low probabilities for Kim Jong Un (15%) and others like MrBeast (23%) lack supporting signals. The June 15-17 G7 summit and later G20 present pivotal opportunities to shift consensus before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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