Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any sovereignty transfer remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of U.S. acquisition before 2027 at just 6.3%. Greenland’s government and 85% of its population have repeatedly affirmed the territory’s right to self-determination under its 2009 Self-Government Act, while Denmark has coordinated with European NATO allies to reject coercive measures. The January 2026 Davos framework agreement, reached with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, shifted focus to expanded U.S. military access, basing rights, and mineral cooperation without ceding control. No legislation, referendum, or diplomatic breakthrough toward full transfer has emerged in the subsequent months, and legal or alliance constraints make unilateral action highly improbable within the remaining resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$33,095,211 Vol.
$33,095,211 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$33,095,211 Vol.
$33,095,211 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any sovereignty transfer remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of U.S. acquisition before 2027 at just 6.3%. Greenland’s government and 85% of its population have repeatedly affirmed the territory’s right to self-determination under its 2009 Self-Government Act, while Denmark has coordinated with European NATO allies to reject coercive measures. The January 2026 Davos framework agreement, reached with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, shifted focus to expanded U.S. military access, basing rights, and mineral cooperation without ceding control. No legislation, referendum, or diplomatic breakthrough toward full transfer has emerged in the subsequent months, and legal or alliance constraints make unilateral action highly improbable within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volumen
$33,095,211Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any sovereignty transfer remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of U.S. acquisition before 2027 at just 6.3%. Greenland’s government and 85% of its population have repeatedly affirmed the territory’s right to self-determination under its 2009 Self-Government Act, while Denmark has coordinated with European NATO allies to reject coercive measures. The January 2026 Davos framework agreement, reached with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, shifted focus to expanded U.S. military access, basing rights, and mineral cooperation without ceding control. No legislation, referendum, or diplomatic breakthrough toward full transfer has emerged in the subsequent months, and legal or alliance constraints make unilateral action highly improbable within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volumen
$33,095,211Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any sovereignty transfer remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of U.S. acquisition before 2027 at just 6.3%. Greenland’s government and 85% of its population have repeatedly affirmed the territory’s right to self-determination under its 2009 Self-Government Act, while Denmark has coordinated with European NATO allies to reject coercive measures. The January 2026 Davos framework agreement, reached with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, shifted focus to expanded U.S. military access, basing rights, and mineral cooperation without ceding control. No legislation, referendum, or diplomatic breakthrough toward full transfer has emerged in the subsequent months, and legal or alliance constraints make unilateral action highly improbable within the remaining resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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