The U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his removal to face charges in the United States left formal Venezuelan institutions recognizing him as constitutional president despite his absence, with Delcy Rodríguez installed only as acting head of state under a Supreme Tribunal order. Core Chavista structures, military command, and the National Assembly have remained intact, while U.S. engagement has prioritized stabilization and limited reforms over rapid elections or opposition-led change. María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile amid stalled transition talks, and June earthquakes further complicated governance without shifting institutional control. Traders price Maduro highest for end-2026 continuity because no election or formal succession has altered his official status, while Rodríguez trails as the primary interim alternative under ongoing external influence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 85.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.4%
Sin jefe de Estado 1.2%
$95,781,156 Vol.
$95,781,156 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Nicolás Maduro
86%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
2%
Sin jefe de Estado
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 85.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.4%
Sin jefe de Estado 1.2%
$95,781,156 Vol.
$95,781,156 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,778,616 Vol.
86%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,768,612 Vol.
10%
María Corina Machado
$1,446,601 Vol.
2%
Sin jefe de Estado
$1,514,970 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,214,541 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,088,965 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$816,954 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,163,857 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,979,761 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,634,807 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,124,635 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,404,215 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,177,654 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,802,377 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,113,079 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,751,512 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his removal to face charges in the United States left formal Venezuelan institutions recognizing him as constitutional president despite his absence, with Delcy Rodríguez installed only as acting head of state under a Supreme Tribunal order. Core Chavista structures, military command, and the National Assembly have remained intact, while U.S. engagement has prioritized stabilization and limited reforms over rapid elections or opposition-led change. María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile amid stalled transition talks, and June earthquakes further complicated governance without shifting institutional control. Traders price Maduro highest for end-2026 continuity because no election or formal succession has altered his official status, while Rodríguez trails as the primary interim alternative under ongoing external influence.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$95,781,156Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his removal to face charges in the United States left formal Venezuelan institutions recognizing him as constitutional president despite his absence, with Delcy Rodríguez installed only as acting head of state under a Supreme Tribunal order. Core Chavista structures, military command, and the National Assembly have remained intact, while U.S. engagement has prioritized stabilization and limited reforms over rapid elections or opposition-led change. María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile amid stalled transition talks, and June earthquakes further complicated governance without shifting institutional control. Traders price Maduro highest for end-2026 continuity because no election or formal succession has altered his official status, while Rodríguez trails as the primary interim alternative under ongoing external influence.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$95,781,156Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his removal to face charges in the United States left formal Venezuelan institutions recognizing him as constitutional president despite his absence, with Delcy Rodríguez installed only as acting head of state under a Supreme Tribunal order. Core Chavista structures, military command, and the National Assembly have remained intact, while U.S. engagement has prioritized stabilization and limited reforms over rapid elections or opposition-led change. María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile amid stalled transition talks, and June earthquakes further complicated governance without shifting institutional control. Traders price Maduro highest for end-2026 continuity because no election or formal succession has altered his official status, while Rodríguez trails as the primary interim alternative under ongoing external influence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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