Recent polling aggregates from outlets including RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s tracker placed President Trump’s job approval near 38 percent as of August 21, 2026, consistent with the months-long range of 37-40 percent observed through his second term. Steady erosion among Republican-leaning respondents, a partisan divide exceeding 70 points, and below-average readings relative to historical second-term benchmarks have anchored trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 interval. Individual surveys released around that date ranged from 33 percent to 39.5 percent, yet daily and weekly averages converged on the narrow band. Shifts in economic indicators, legislative outcomes, or major foreign-policy developments within the resolution window remain the primary variables that could move final published figures outside this interval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Calificación de aprobación de Trump el 21 de agosto?
$5,929 Vol.
$5,929 Vol.
37.5–37.9
3%
38.0–38.4
96%
$5,929 Vol.
$5,929 Vol.
37.5–37.9
3%
38.0–38.4
96%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from outlets including RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Nate Silver’s tracker placed President Trump’s job approval near 38 percent as of August 21, 2026, consistent with the months-long range of 37-40 percent observed through his second term. Steady erosion among Republican-leaning respondents, a partisan divide exceeding 70 points, and below-average readings relative to historical second-term benchmarks have anchored trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 interval. Individual surveys released around that date ranged from 33 percent to 39.5 percent, yet daily and weekly averages converged on the narrow band. Shifts in economic indicators, legislative outcomes, or major foreign-policy developments within the resolution window remain the primary variables that could move final published figures outside this interval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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