Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s, with averages near 36-38% amid a steep partisan divide and limited crossover support. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran, subsequent escalation, and associated rise in gasoline prices have weighed on foreign-policy and economic assessments, contributing to net disapproval readings near -26. Persistent inflation concerns and mixed signals on growth further constrain gains, while core Republican backing remains stable. With only days until the August 28 measurement and recent surveys fluctuating within a narrow band, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether short-term stabilization or additional external shocks will shift the final reading into a higher or lower range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<37.0 45%
37.0–37.4 45%
37.5–37.9 45%
38.0–38.4 45%
<37.0
45%
37.0–37.4
45%
37.5–37.9
45%
38.0–38.4
45%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0+
44%
<37.0 45%
37.0–37.4 45%
37.5–37.9 45%
38.0–38.4 45%
<37.0
45%
37.0–37.4
45%
37.5–37.9
45%
38.0–38.4
45%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0+
44%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s, with averages near 36-38% amid a steep partisan divide and limited crossover support. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran, subsequent escalation, and associated rise in gasoline prices have weighed on foreign-policy and economic assessments, contributing to net disapproval readings near -26. Persistent inflation concerns and mixed signals on growth further constrain gains, while core Republican backing remains stable. With only days until the August 28 measurement and recent surveys fluctuating within a narrow band, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether short-term stabilization or additional external shocks will shift the final reading into a higher or lower range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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