Trump's job approval has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s through mid-2026, with recent national polls showing figures of 36-40% and net ratings near -18 to -22. Persistent weakness stems primarily from low marks on the economy and cost of living, where approval often falls below 30%, amid voter concerns over inflation and gas prices. A modest rebound in mid-June followed the announcement of an Iran ceasefire, which eased some price-related dissatisfaction. The November 3 midterm elections represent the key scheduled catalyst that could shift ratings through congressional outcomes, legislative gridlock risks, or policy momentum. Broader sentiment also reflects ongoing foreign policy developments and economic indicators tracked closely by polling aggregators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$90,720 Vol.
31 dic 2026
35%
28%
30%
11%
25%
6%
20%
3%
$90,720 Vol.
35%
$59,285 Vol.
28%
30%
$6,555 Vol.
11%
25%
$2,371 Vol.
6%
20%
$3,008 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's job approval has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s through mid-2026, with recent national polls showing figures of 36-40% and net ratings near -18 to -22. Persistent weakness stems primarily from low marks on the economy and cost of living, where approval often falls below 30%, amid voter concerns over inflation and gas prices. A modest rebound in mid-June followed the announcement of an Iran ceasefire, which eased some price-related dissatisfaction. The November 3 midterm elections represent the key scheduled catalyst that could shift ratings through congressional outcomes, legislative gridlock risks, or policy momentum. Broader sentiment also reflects ongoing foreign policy developments and economic indicators tracked closely by polling aggregators.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$90,720Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's job approval has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s through mid-2026, with recent national polls showing figures of 36-40% and net ratings near -18 to -22. Persistent weakness stems primarily from low marks on the economy and cost of living, where approval often falls below 30%, amid voter concerns over inflation and gas prices. A modest rebound in mid-June followed the announcement of an Iran ceasefire, which eased some price-related dissatisfaction. The November 3 midterm elections represent the key scheduled catalyst that could shift ratings through congressional outcomes, legislative gridlock risks, or policy momentum. Broader sentiment also reflects ongoing foreign policy developments and economic indicators tracked closely by polling aggregators.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$90,720Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's job approval has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s through mid-2026, with recent national polls showing figures of 36-40% and net ratings near -18 to -22. Persistent weakness stems primarily from low marks on the economy and cost of living, where approval often falls below 30%, amid voter concerns over inflation and gas prices. A modest rebound in mid-June followed the announcement of an Iran ceasefire, which eased some price-related dissatisfaction. The November 3 midterm elections represent the key scheduled catalyst that could shift ratings through congressional outcomes, legislative gridlock risks, or policy momentum. Broader sentiment also reflects ongoing foreign policy developments and economic indicators tracked closely by polling aggregators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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