Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,762,628 Vol.
$2,762,628 Vol.
18 ago 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,762,628 Vol.
$2,762,628 Vol.
18 ago 2026
<20
$4,115 Vol.
No
20-39
$5,115 Vol.
No
40-59
$5,715 Vol.
No
60-79
$28,367 Vol.
No
80-99
$53,904 Vol.
No
100-119
$70,450 Vol.
No
120-139
$255,494 Vol.
No
140-159
$545,802 Vol.
No
160-179
$338,671 Vol.
Yes
180-199
$392,097 Vol.
No
200-219
$213,931 Vol.
No
220-239
$165,344 Vol.
No
240-259
$145,566 Vol.
No
260-279
$112,017 Vol.
No
280-299
$93,959 Vol.
No
300-319
$83,111 Vol.
No
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
No
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
No
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
No
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
No
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
No
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
No
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
No
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
No
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
No
500+
$43,869 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$2,762,628Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$2,762,628Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes