**Netanyahu’s confirmed travel plans anchor current market pricing.** On September 14, 2026, Israel’s Prime Minister’s Office announced that Benjamin Netanyahu will fly to New York City on September 23–25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24, shortly after Yom Kippur. This official schedule directly resolves near-term contracts in the affirmative and reinforces longer-horizon ones through year-end. Earlier public statements of intent had already pushed implied probabilities above 85 percent for a September visit, with traders discounting local political friction from New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who had previously signaled interest in enforcing an ICC warrant but later acknowledged lacking authority. Federal diplomatic protections and the routine nature of UNGA participation further reduce downside risk. The only material variables remaining are last-minute health, security, or scheduling changes within the narrow September 23–25 window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$422,777 Vol.
30 de septiembre
96%
31 de diciembre
97%
$422,777 Vol.
30 de septiembre
96%
31 de diciembre
97%
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Netanyahu’s confirmed travel plans anchor current market pricing.** On September 14, 2026, Israel’s Prime Minister’s Office announced that Benjamin Netanyahu will fly to New York City on September 23–25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24, shortly after Yom Kippur. This official schedule directly resolves near-term contracts in the affirmative and reinforces longer-horizon ones through year-end. Earlier public statements of intent had already pushed implied probabilities above 85 percent for a September visit, with traders discounting local political friction from New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who had previously signaled interest in enforcing an ICC warrant but later acknowledged lacking authority. Federal diplomatic protections and the routine nature of UNGA participation further reduce downside risk. The only material variables remaining are last-minute health, security, or scheduling changes within the narrow September 23–25 window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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