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icon for ¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?

¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?

icon for ¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?

¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?

$422,777 Vol.

30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$422,777 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre

$167,052 Vol.

96%

31 de diciembre

$99,354 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Netanyahu’s confirmed travel plans anchor current market pricing.** On September 14, 2026, Israel’s Prime Minister’s Office announced that Benjamin Netanyahu will fly to New York City on September 23–25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24, shortly after Yom Kippur. This official schedule directly resolves near-term contracts in the affirmative and reinforces longer-horizon ones through year-end. Earlier public statements of intent had already pushed implied probabilities above 85 percent for a September visit, with traders discounting local political friction from New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who had previously signaled interest in enforcing an ICC warrant but later acknowledged lacking authority. Federal diplomatic protections and the routine nature of UNGA participation further reduce downside risk. The only material variables remaining are last-minute health, security, or scheduling changes within the narrow September 23–25 window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$422,777
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Netanyahu’s confirmed travel plans anchor current market pricing.** On September 14, 2026, Israel’s Prime Minister’s Office announced that Benjamin Netanyahu will fly to New York City on September 23–25 to address the UN General Assembly on September 24, shortly after Yom Kippur. This official schedule directly resolves near-term contracts in the affirmative and reinforces longer-horizon ones through year-end. Earlier public statements of intent had already pushed implied probabilities above 85 percent for a September visit, with traders discounting local political friction from New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who had previously signaled interest in enforcing an ICC warrant but later acknowledged lacking authority. Federal diplomatic protections and the routine nature of UNGA participation further reduce downside risk. The only material variables remaining are last-minute health, security, or scheduling changes within the narrow September 23–25 window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$422,777
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 97%, seguido de "30 de septiembre" con 96%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?" ha generado $422.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de septiembre" con 96%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu visitará la ciudad de Nueva York antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.