Recent polls conducted after the September 8-9 party list submissions place Blue and White consistently around 0.9-1.4%, well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold. This positioning stems from multiple MK defections that reduced the slate to three incumbents, limited merger success with figures such as Dedi Simchi, and voter consolidation toward larger opposition lists including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have publicly urged Benny Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting votes. These factors have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the lower vote-share brackets, with the October 27 election still weeks away and limited scope for rapid reversal absent major shifts in bloc alignments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<0.75% 39%
0,75-1,25% 21%
1,25-2% 20%
2-3,25% 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<0.75%
39%
0,75-1,25%
21%
1,25-2%
20%
2-3,25%
20%
3,25%+
7%
<0.75% 39%
0,75-1,25% 21%
1,25-2% 20%
2-3,25% 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<0.75%
$244 Vol.
39%
0,75-1,25%
$323 Vol.
21%
1,25-2%
$15 Vol.
20%
2-3,25%
$15 Vol.
20%
3,25%+
$245 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls conducted after the September 8-9 party list submissions place Blue and White consistently around 0.9-1.4%, well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold. This positioning stems from multiple MK defections that reduced the slate to three incumbents, limited merger success with figures such as Dedi Simchi, and voter consolidation toward larger opposition lists including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have publicly urged Benny Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting votes. These factors have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the lower vote-share brackets, with the October 27 election still weeks away and limited scope for rapid reversal absent major shifts in bloc alignments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$842Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls conducted after the September 8-9 party list submissions place Blue and White consistently around 0.9-1.4%, well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold. This positioning stems from multiple MK defections that reduced the slate to three incumbents, limited merger success with figures such as Dedi Simchi, and voter consolidation toward larger opposition lists including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have publicly urged Benny Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting votes. These factors have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the lower vote-share brackets, with the October 27 election still weeks away and limited scope for rapid reversal absent major shifts in bloc alignments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$842Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted after the September 8-9 party list submissions place Blue and White consistently around 0.9-1.4%, well below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold. This positioning stems from multiple MK defections that reduced the slate to three incumbents, limited merger success with figures such as Dedi Simchi, and voter consolidation toward larger opposition lists including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together. Opposition figures have publicly urged Benny Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting votes. These factors have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the lower vote-share brackets, with the October 27 election still weeks away and limited scope for rapid reversal absent major shifts in bloc alignments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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