**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures. High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de junio?
26°C 99.8%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,302 Vol.
$66,302 Vol.
26 jun 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
26°C 99.8%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,302 Vol.
$66,302 Vol.
26 jun 2026
23°C o menos
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,790 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,665 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,522 Vol.
100%
27°C
$3,713 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,732 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,515 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$902 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures.
High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$66,302Fecha de finalización
26 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures.
High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$66,302Fecha de finalización
26 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures. High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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