Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 11 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 11 de julio?
19°C 51%
18°C 35%
20°C 11%
17°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
51%
20°C
11%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C o más
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 35%
20°C 11%
17°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
13°C o menos
$195 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$235 Vol.
1%
15°C
$474 Vol.
1%
16°C
$207 Vol.
3%
17°C
$228 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,066 Vol.
35%
19°C
$394 Vol.
51%
20°C
$206 Vol.
11%
21°C
$251 Vol.
2%
22°C
$135 Vol.
1%
23°C o más
$605 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,995Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,995Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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