Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models shows overnight lows for Mexico City on October 6 likely in the 13–15°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain from a regional weather system that limits radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. These conditions have elevated minimum temperatures above typical early-October baselines near 9–11°C. Market-implied odds favor 18°C or higher alongside clustered probabilities near 13–17°C, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the moderating influence of moisture. New model updates and observational data from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours could refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.