Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 30 de junio?
14°C o menos 43%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
17°C 6%
14°C o menos
43%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C o más
4%
14°C o menos 43%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
17°C 6%
14°C o menos
43%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C o más
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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