Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 29 de julio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 29 de julio?
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
21°C 12%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 jul 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
9%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
21°C 12%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 jul 2026
20°C or below
$62 Vol.
4%
21°C
$31 Vol.
12%
22°C
$46 Vol.
9%
23°C
$106 Vol.
9%
24°C
$142 Vol.
36%
25°C
$91 Vol.
36%
26°C
$33 Vol.
9%
27°C
$15 Vol.
7%
28°C
$10 Vol.
5%
29°C
$10 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$550Fecha de finalización
29 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$550Fecha de finalización
29 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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