Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 29?
20°C 95.9%
19°C 3.0%
18°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
$10,946 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,946 Vol.
29 jun 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
96%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 95.9%
19°C 3.0%
18°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
$10,946 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,946 Vol.
29 jun 2026
15°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$976 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,111 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,562 Vol.
96%
21°C
$1,871 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$501 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$10,946Fecha de finalización
29 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,946Fecha de finalización
29 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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