Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent performance in recent cycles. The district, covering parts of the South Shore and Cape Cod, has delivered Democratic victories in every election since the current boundaries took effect, with Keating securing 56 percent in the 2024 general election. With the September 1 primary and November general election still months away, no major shifts in voter registration, polling, or candidate dynamics have altered the structural advantage. Republican nominee Robert MacAllister faces a steep path in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late development such as a Keating retirement, significant scandal, or unusual turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,241 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$1,357 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent performance in recent cycles. The district, covering parts of the South Shore and Cape Cod, has delivered Democratic victories in every election since the current boundaries took effect, with Keating securing 56 percent in the 2024 general election. With the September 1 primary and November general election still months away, no major shifts in voter registration, polling, or candidate dynamics have altered the structural advantage. Republican nominee Robert MacAllister faces a steep path in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late development such as a Keating retirement, significant scandal, or unusual turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$4,598Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent performance in recent cycles. The district, covering parts of the South Shore and Cape Cod, has delivered Democratic victories in every election since the current boundaries took effect, with Keating securing 56 percent in the 2024 general election. With the September 1 primary and November general election still months away, no major shifts in voter registration, polling, or candidate dynamics have altered the structural advantage. Republican nominee Robert MacAllister faces a steep path in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late development such as a Keating retirement, significant scandal, or unusual turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,598Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, backed by the seat’s D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the party’s consistent performance in recent cycles. The district, covering parts of the South Shore and Cape Cod, has delivered Democratic victories in every election since the current boundaries took effect, with Keating securing 56 percent in the 2024 general election. With the September 1 primary and November general election still months away, no major shifts in voter registration, polling, or candidate dynamics have altered the structural advantage. Republican nominee Robert MacAllister faces a steep path in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late development such as a Keating retirement, significant scandal, or unusual turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes