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icon for ¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?

¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?

icon for ¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?

¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?

59% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

59% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland’s Question 3, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, cleared its final legal obstacle on September 3 when the state Supreme Court reversed lower-court rulings and placed the measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot with revised language. The amendment would limit existing compactness, contiguity, and boundary standards to state legislative districts only and authorize original Supreme Court jurisdiction over congressional maps. Democrats, who hold supermajorities in both chambers, advanced the proposal during an August special session to facilitate potential mid-decade congressional redistricting aimed at the state’s lone Republican-held seat. In a heavily Democratic state, traders assign the “Yes” side a modest edge at 60 percent, reflecting the party’s structural advantage tempered by the measure’s partisan framing and the absence of statewide polling on the specific question.

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland’s Question 3, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, cleared its final legal obstacle on September 3 when the state Supreme Court reversed lower-court rulings and placed the measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot with revised language. The amendment would limit existing compactness, contiguity, and boundary standards to state legislative districts only and authorize original Supreme Court jurisdiction over congressional maps. Democrats, who hold supermajorities in both chambers, advanced the proposal during an August special session to facilitate potential mid-decade congressional redistricting aimed at the state’s lone Republican-held seat. In a heavily Democratic state, traders assign the “Yes” side a modest edge at 60 percent, reflecting the party’s structural advantage tempered by the measure’s partisan framing and the absence of statewide polling on the specific question.

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Maryland aprueba la medida electoral sobre requisitos de redistribución de distritos?" con 59%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Maryland aprueba la medida de la boleta de requisitos de redistribución de distritos?" es "¿Maryland aprueba la medida electoral sobre requisitos de redistribución de distritos?" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

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