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icon for ¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?

¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?

icon for ¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?

¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?

39% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

39% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot following a unanimous state Supreme Court ruling on September 3, asks voters to approve or reject House Bill 1, the 2025 mid-decade redistricting plan enacted in special session. A "yes" vote would uphold the new boundaries drawn to favor Republicans in the Kansas City area; a "no" vote would repeal the plan and retain the 2022 map. Recent certification by the secretary of state and denial of emergency relief by the U.S. Supreme Court cleared procedural hurdles, yet trader consensus at 61% for rejection reflects the measure's partisan origins, successful signature-gathering campaign exceeding 300,000 names, and historical patterns of Missouri voters scrutinizing legislative maps through direct democracy. Upcoming general election turnout and any late legal shifts remain key variables.

The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot following a unanimous state Supreme Court ruling on September 3, asks voters to approve or reject House Bill 1, the 2025 mid-decade redistricting plan enacted in special session. A "yes" vote would uphold the new boundaries drawn to favor Republicans in the Kansas City area; a "no" vote would repeal the plan and retain the 2022 map. Recent certification by the secretary of state and denial of emergency relief by the U.S. Supreme Court cleared procedural hurdles, yet trader consensus at 61% for rejection reflects the measure's partisan origins, successful signature-gathering campaign exceeding 300,000 names, and historical patterns of Missouri voters scrutinizing legislative maps through direct democracy. Upcoming general election turnout and any late legal shifts remain key variables.

The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir los distritos?" con 39%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?" es "¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir los distritos?" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Missouri aprueba una medida electoral para redistribuir el distrito?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.