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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

$43,290 Vol.

11 oct 2026
Polymarket

$43,290 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Olson

$3,426 Vol.

81%

Yordan Álvarez

$3,044 Vol.

85%

$0 Vol.

50%

Pete Alonso

$257 Vol.

13%

Munetaka Murakami

$543 Vol.

4%

Brandon Lowe

$2,085 Vol.

3%

Wilson Contreras

$438 Vol.

3%

Colson Montgomery

$1,206 Vol.

3%

$130 Vol.

3%

James Wood

$1,555 Vol.

3%

Kazuma Okamoto

$103 Vol.

3%

CJ Abrams

$1,704 Vol.

1%

Miguel Vargas

$129 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Judge

$2,405 Vol.

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$2,044 Vol.

<1%

Byron Buxton

$2,992 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Harper

$692 Vol.

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$2,737 Vol.

<1%

Nick Kurtz

$684 Vol.

<1%

Dillon Dingler

$4,544 Vol.

<1%

Christian Walker

$629 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$1,340 Vol.

<1%

Ketel Marte

$1,080 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$697 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$1,032 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$672 Vol.

<1%

Ben Rice

$317 Vol.

46%

Hunter Goodman

$2,571 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Several players are positioned to reach or exceed 40 home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season as it enters its final weeks.** Kyle Schwarber leads with 45, followed closely by Pete Crow-Armstrong (42–44) and Junior Caminero (41), while Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit at 39. Hunter Goodman and Ben Rice are at 38, with Rafael Devers and Pete Alonso in the mid-30s. Recent September power surges, including multi-homer games from Crow-Armstrong and others, have kept pace strong amid typical late-season variables like rest, injuries, and bullpen usage. With roughly 10–15 games remaining for most clubs, the frontrunners need modest production to clear the threshold, while a handful of additional players retain realistic paths if they sustain current output in favorable matchups or parks. Trader consensus reflects the likelihood that at least one player will finish at 40-plus given the current distribution and remaining schedule.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$43,290
Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Several players are positioned to reach or exceed 40 home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season as it enters its final weeks.** Kyle Schwarber leads with 45, followed closely by Pete Crow-Armstrong (42–44) and Junior Caminero (41), while Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit at 39. Hunter Goodman and Ben Rice are at 38, with Rafael Devers and Pete Alonso in the mid-30s. Recent September power surges, including multi-homer games from Crow-Armstrong and others, have kept pace strong amid typical late-season variables like rest, injuries, and bullpen usage. With roughly 10–15 games remaining for most clubs, the frontrunners need modest production to clear the threshold, while a handful of additional players retain realistic paths if they sustain current output in favorable matchups or parks. Trader consensus reflects the likelihood that at least one player will finish at 40-plus given the current distribution and remaining schedule.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$43,290
Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.mlb.com

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Junior Caminero" con 100%, seguido de "Kyle Schwarber" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" ha generado $43.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" es "Junior Caminero" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kyle Schwarber" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.