Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
31 jul 2026
31 de julio
13%
30 de septiembre
45%
31 de diciembre
47%
$7 Vol.
31 de julio
$7 Vol.
13%
30 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
45%
31 de diciembre
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volumen
$7Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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