Recent withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards amid ethics concerns, followed by the August selection of state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the GOP nominee, has elevated uncertainty in this western North Carolina district. Balkcom enters with roughly 80 days until the November 3 general election and trails Democrat Jamie Ager in fundraising by several million dollars after Ager secured the Democratic nomination in March. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican based on its R+5 Cook PVI and prior GOP margins, yet the late candidate switch and Ager’s established organization have narrowed the gap in polling averages. Traders appear to price these dynamics as increasing Democratic prospects relative to historical baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NC-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NC-11
$15,535 Vol.
$15,535 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
66%
Partido Republicano
36%
$15,535 Vol.
$15,535 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$7,147 Vol.
66%
Partido Republicano
$8,388 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards amid ethics concerns, followed by the August selection of state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the GOP nominee, has elevated uncertainty in this western North Carolina district. Balkcom enters with roughly 80 days until the November 3 general election and trails Democrat Jamie Ager in fundraising by several million dollars after Ager secured the Democratic nomination in March. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican based on its R+5 Cook PVI and prior GOP margins, yet the late candidate switch and Ager’s established organization have narrowed the gap in polling averages. Traders appear to price these dynamics as increasing Democratic prospects relative to historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$15,535Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards amid ethics concerns, followed by the August selection of state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the GOP nominee, has elevated uncertainty in this western North Carolina district. Balkcom enters with roughly 80 days until the November 3 general election and trails Democrat Jamie Ager in fundraising by several million dollars after Ager secured the Democratic nomination in March. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican based on its R+5 Cook PVI and prior GOP margins, yet the late candidate switch and Ager’s established organization have narrowed the gap in polling averages. Traders appear to price these dynamics as increasing Democratic prospects relative to historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,535Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards amid ethics concerns, followed by the August selection of state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the GOP nominee, has elevated uncertainty in this western North Carolina district. Balkcom enters with roughly 80 days until the November 3 general election and trails Democrat Jamie Ager in fundraising by several million dollars after Ager secured the Democratic nomination in March. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican based on its R+5 Cook PVI and prior GOP margins, yet the late candidate switch and Ager’s established organization have narrowed the gap in polling averages. Traders appear to price these dynamics as increasing Democratic prospects relative to historical baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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