The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew from the NC-11 race in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding of substantial evidence that he created a hostile work environment and sexually harassed staffers. North Carolina Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the replacement nominee shortly thereafter, leaving her with a compressed campaign timeline and a significant fundraising disadvantage against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who has raised several million dollars. The district voted Republican in the prior cycle but carries a modest GOP lean that could tighten in a national environment favoring Democrats. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic Party as the more probable winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NC-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NC-11
$15,535 Vol.
$15,535 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
67%
Partido Republicano
36%
$15,535 Vol.
$15,535 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$7,147 Vol.
67%
Partido Republicano
$8,388 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew from the NC-11 race in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding of substantial evidence that he created a hostile work environment and sexually harassed staffers. North Carolina Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the replacement nominee shortly thereafter, leaving her with a compressed campaign timeline and a significant fundraising disadvantage against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who has raised several million dollars. The district voted Republican in the prior cycle but carries a modest GOP lean that could tighten in a national environment favoring Democrats. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic Party as the more probable winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$15,535Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew from the NC-11 race in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding of substantial evidence that he created a hostile work environment and sexually harassed staffers. North Carolina Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the replacement nominee shortly thereafter, leaving her with a compressed campaign timeline and a significant fundraising disadvantage against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who has raised several million dollars. The district voted Republican in the prior cycle but carries a modest GOP lean that could tighten in a national environment favoring Democrats. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic Party as the more probable winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,535Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew from the NC-11 race in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding of substantial evidence that he created a hostile work environment and sexually harassed staffers. North Carolina Republicans selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom as the replacement nominee shortly thereafter, leaving her with a compressed campaign timeline and a significant fundraising disadvantage against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who has raised several million dollars. The district voted Republican in the prior cycle but carries a modest GOP lean that could tighten in a national environment favoring Democrats. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic Party as the more probable winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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