Global health surveillance through mid-2026 reveals no novel pathogens with sustained human-to-human transmission capable of triggering pandemic-level spread, as confirmed by stable case counts from CDC and WHO monitoring networks. Sporadic H5N1 avian influenza detections remain limited to animal reservoirs and isolated zoonotic events without community clusters, while genomic tracking shows existing respiratory viruses circulating at typical seasonal rates. These conditions, reinforced by rapid vaccine deployment capacity and established early-warning systems, underpin the market-implied 89.5 percent probability against a new pandemic this year, though model uncertainty around rapid viral evolution persists until year-end data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$407,142 Vol.
$407,142 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$407,142 Vol.
$407,142 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Global health surveillance through mid-2026 reveals no novel pathogens with sustained human-to-human transmission capable of triggering pandemic-level spread, as confirmed by stable case counts from CDC and WHO monitoring networks. Sporadic H5N1 avian influenza detections remain limited to animal reservoirs and isolated zoonotic events without community clusters, while genomic tracking shows existing respiratory viruses circulating at typical seasonal rates. These conditions, reinforced by rapid vaccine deployment capacity and established early-warning systems, underpin the market-implied 89.5 percent probability against a new pandemic this year, though model uncertainty around rapid viral evolution persists until year-end data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Mercado abierto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Volumen
$407,142Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Global health surveillance through mid-2026 reveals no novel pathogens with sustained human-to-human transmission capable of triggering pandemic-level spread, as confirmed by stable case counts from CDC and WHO monitoring networks. Sporadic H5N1 avian influenza detections remain limited to animal reservoirs and isolated zoonotic events without community clusters, while genomic tracking shows existing respiratory viruses circulating at typical seasonal rates. These conditions, reinforced by rapid vaccine deployment capacity and established early-warning systems, underpin the market-implied 89.5 percent probability against a new pandemic this year, though model uncertainty around rapid viral evolution persists until year-end data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volumen
$407,142Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Global health surveillance through mid-2026 reveals no novel pathogens with sustained human-to-human transmission capable of triggering pandemic-level spread, as confirmed by stable case counts from CDC and WHO monitoring networks. Sporadic H5N1 avian influenza detections remain limited to animal reservoirs and isolated zoonotic events without community clusters, while genomic tracking shows existing respiratory viruses circulating at typical seasonal rates. These conditions, reinforced by rapid vaccine deployment capacity and established early-warning systems, underpin the market-implied 89.5 percent probability against a new pandemic this year, though model uncertainty around rapid viral evolution persists until year-end data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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