France's April 2027 presidential election features a fragmented field after Emmanuel Macron's term limits bar his re-run. Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leads first-round polling at 35-37% despite a recent guilty verdict that could trigger a candidacy ban under appeal, positioning protégé Jordan Bardella as a strong alternative for the far-right slot. Center-right figures like Édouard Philippe poll in the mid-teens and often lead projected runoffs, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has surged to around 15% amid left-wing divisions. These dynamics, shaped by ongoing legal proceedings and coalition negotiations, drive trader consensus on likely first-round qualifiers ahead of the scheduled vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$83,104 Vol.
30 abr 2027
Marine Le Pen
86%
Édouard Philippe
54%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
38%
Gabriel Attal
10%
François Hollande
8%
Jordan Bardella
8%
Raphaël Glucksmann
6%
Bernard Cazeneuve
5%
Gérald Darmanin
4%
Fabien Roussel
4%
Dominique de Villepin
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
4%
Olivier Faure
3%
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
Mathilde Panot
3%
Bruno Retailleau
3%
Éric Zemmour
3%
Élisabeth Borne
3%
David Lisnard
3%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
François Bayrou
3%
François Ruffin
2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
2%
Manuel Bompard
2%
Sarah Knafo
2%
François Asselineau
2%
Carole Delga
2%
Michel Barnier
2%
Juan Branco
2%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Ségolène Royal
1%
Xavier Bertrand
1%
Jean Castex
1%
Valérie Pécresse
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Clémence Guetté
<1%
$83,104 Vol.
Marine Le Pen
$8,710 Vol.
86%
Édouard Philippe
$1,790 Vol.
54%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$4,877 Vol.
38%
Gabriel Attal
$1,619 Vol.
10%
François Hollande
$4,711 Vol.
8%
Jordan Bardella
$17,470 Vol.
8%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$638 Vol.
6%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$251 Vol.
5%
Gérald Darmanin
$1,083 Vol.
4%
Fabien Roussel
$1,127 Vol.
4%
Dominique de Villepin
$1,114 Vol.
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$466 Vol.
4%
Olivier Faure
$129 Vol.
3%
Laurent Wauquiez
$58 Vol.
3%
Mathilde Panot
$829 Vol.
3%
Bruno Retailleau
$1,908 Vol.
3%
Éric Zemmour
$631 Vol.
3%
Élisabeth Borne
$3,240 Vol.
3%
David Lisnard
$2,349 Vol.
3%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$2,043 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$23 Vol.
3%
François Ruffin
$4,774 Vol.
2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$643 Vol.
2%
Manuel Bompard
$1,825 Vol.
2%
Sarah Knafo
$2,659 Vol.
2%
François Asselineau
$1,768 Vol.
2%
Carole Delga
$1,111 Vol.
2%
Michel Barnier
$1,005 Vol.
2%
Juan Branco
$1,147 Vol.
2%
Clémentine Autain
$1,559 Vol.
1%
Ségolène Royal
$2,962 Vol.
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$1,537 Vol.
1%
Jean Castex
$1,230 Vol.
1%
Valérie Pécresse
$1,286 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$2,807 Vol.
1%
Clémence Guetté
$1,613 Vol.
<1%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France's April 2027 presidential election features a fragmented field after Emmanuel Macron's term limits bar his re-run. Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leads first-round polling at 35-37% despite a recent guilty verdict that could trigger a candidacy ban under appeal, positioning protégé Jordan Bardella as a strong alternative for the far-right slot. Center-right figures like Édouard Philippe poll in the mid-teens and often lead projected runoffs, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has surged to around 15% amid left-wing divisions. These dynamics, shaped by ongoing legal proceedings and coalition negotiations, drive trader consensus on likely first-round qualifiers ahead of the scheduled vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volumen
$83,104Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France's April 2027 presidential election features a fragmented field after Emmanuel Macron's term limits bar his re-run. Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leads first-round polling at 35-37% despite a recent guilty verdict that could trigger a candidacy ban under appeal, positioning protégé Jordan Bardella as a strong alternative for the far-right slot. Center-right figures like Édouard Philippe poll in the mid-teens and often lead projected runoffs, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has surged to around 15% amid left-wing divisions. These dynamics, shaped by ongoing legal proceedings and coalition negotiations, drive trader consensus on likely first-round qualifiers ahead of the scheduled vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$83,104Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's April 2027 presidential election features a fragmented field after Emmanuel Macron's term limits bar his re-run. Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leads first-round polling at 35-37% despite a recent guilty verdict that could trigger a candidacy ban under appeal, positioning protégé Jordan Bardella as a strong alternative for the far-right slot. Center-right figures like Édouard Philippe poll in the mid-teens and often lead projected runoffs, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise has surged to around 15% amid left-wing divisions. These dynamics, shaped by ongoing legal proceedings and coalition negotiations, drive trader consensus on likely first-round qualifiers ahead of the scheduled vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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