Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
Jack Lowden 38.0%
No se ha elegido a Bond 18.6%
Jack Barton 11.6%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$782,394 Vol.
$782,394 Vol.
Jack Lowden
38%
No se ha elegido a Bond
19%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
3%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 38.0%
No se ha elegido a Bond 18.6%
Jack Barton 11.6%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$782,394 Vol.
$782,394 Vol.
Jack Lowden
38%
No se ha elegido a Bond
19%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
3%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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