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icon for ¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

icon for ¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Jack Lowden 38.0%

No se ha elegido a Bond 18.6%

Jack Barton 11.6%

Callum Turner 10.5%

Polymarket

$782,394 Vol.

Jack Lowden 38.0%

No se ha elegido a Bond 18.6%

Jack Barton 11.6%

Callum Turner 10.5%

Polymarket

$782,394 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$144,435 Vol.

38%

icon for No se ha elegido a Bond

No se ha elegido a Bond

$365,851 Vol.

19%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$35,743 Vol.

12%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$59,103 Vol.

11%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$16,131 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$7,788 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$11,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$7,341 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$8,426 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$18,210 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$10,212 Vol.

1%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$6,338 Vol.

1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$5,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$25,117 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$6,546 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$11,502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$8,775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$5,601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,725 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$6,467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$3,395 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$5,912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$4,140 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$782,394
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$782,394
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 24 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jack Lowden" con 38%, seguido de "No se ha elegido a Bond" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" ha generado $782.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 18, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?", explora los 24 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es "Jack Lowden" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "No se ha elegido a Bond" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.