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Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?
Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

John Thune 28%

Chuck Schumer 23%

Tom Cotton 15.6%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$63,477 Vol.

John Thune 28%

Chuck Schumer 23%

Tom Cotton 15.6%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$63,477 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$2,393 Vol.

28%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$7,846 Vol.

23%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,565 Vol.

16%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,263 Vol.

10%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,024 Vol.

4%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,036 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$2,397 Vol.

3%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$21,945 Vol.

2%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$11,032 Vol.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$2,915 Vol.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$2,060 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold a narrow Senate majority under John Thune, with the 2026 midterms set to decide whether that control continues or shifts to Democrats led by Chuck Schumer. Traders price the contest tightly because early polling and fundraising in battleground states such as North Carolina, Maine, Georgia, and Michigan show no decisive advantage for either side, while internal Republican discussions about leadership continuity and Democratic caucus dynamics add layers of uncertainty. Recent developments, including candidate announcements and preliminary spending reports, have kept multiple names in play without creating a clear frontrunner. A stronger-than-expected Republican performance in key races or unified support for Thune within the GOP conference could widen his lead, whereas Democratic gains or visible party pressure on Schumer could lift alternative contenders and alter the implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$63,477
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold a narrow Senate majority under John Thune, with the 2026 midterms set to decide whether that control continues or shifts to Democrats led by Chuck Schumer. Traders price the contest tightly because early polling and fundraising in battleground states such as North Carolina, Maine, Georgia, and Michigan show no decisive advantage for either side, while internal Republican discussions about leadership continuity and Democratic caucus dynamics add layers of uncertainty. Recent developments, including candidate announcements and preliminary spending reports, have kept multiple names in play without creating a clear frontrunner. A stronger-than-expected Republican performance in key races or unified support for Thune within the GOP conference could widen his lead, whereas Democratic gains or visible party pressure on Schumer could lift alternative contenders and alter the implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$63,477
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Thune" con 28%, seguido de "Chuck Schumer" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" ha generado $63.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es "John Thune" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuck Schumer" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.