Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee, who secured her party's nomination with over 70 percent in the June 9 primary, holds a strong position in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a western Las Vegas suburbs seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even or slight Democratic lean. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June 9 primary. This positioning stems from Lee's consistent reelection record since 2018, the district's recent voting patterns, and limited signs of major shifts ahead of the general election, though Republicans see potential upside from alignment with statewide races. The competitive nature keeps the race within reach for either side depending on turnout and broader Nevada dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$639 Vol.
80%
Republican Party
$100 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee, who secured her party's nomination with over 70 percent in the June 9 primary, holds a strong position in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a western Las Vegas suburbs seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even or slight Democratic lean. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June 9 primary. This positioning stems from Lee's consistent reelection record since 2018, the district's recent voting patterns, and limited signs of major shifts ahead of the general election, though Republicans see potential upside from alignment with statewide races. The competitive nature keeps the race within reach for either side depending on turnout and broader Nevada dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$739Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee, who secured her party's nomination with over 70 percent in the June 9 primary, holds a strong position in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a western Las Vegas suburbs seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even or slight Democratic lean. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June 9 primary. This positioning stems from Lee's consistent reelection record since 2018, the district's recent voting patterns, and limited signs of major shifts ahead of the general election, though Republicans see potential upside from alignment with statewide races. The competitive nature keeps the race within reach for either side depending on turnout and broader Nevada dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$739Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee, who secured her party's nomination with over 70 percent in the June 9 primary, holds a strong position in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a western Las Vegas suburbs seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even or slight Democratic lean. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in his June 9 primary. This positioning stems from Lee's consistent reelection record since 2018, the district's recent voting patterns, and limited signs of major shifts ahead of the general election, though Republicans see potential upside from alignment with statewide races. The competitive nature keeps the race within reach for either side depending on turnout and broader Nevada dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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