Nvidia’s current ~$5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained hyperscaler AI capex and the August 2026 earnings beat that delivered $96.2 billion in quarterly revenue with 70% FY2028 growth guidance, anchoring trader consensus near the $5–6.5 trillion buckets. Blackwell volume and the early Vera Rubin ramp continue to expand the AI factory stack, yet rising custom ASIC deployments by Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, plus AMD’s inference gains, introduce share erosion risk that tempers upside odds. Antitrust scrutiny over the Groq licensing deal and China export limits add near-term volatility. With only three months until year-end, Q3 results and supply-constrained delivery metrics will likely determine whether the stock sustains momentum or compresses multiples amid elevated valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$5.50-$6.00T 19%
$5,00-$5,50T 17%
$6.00-$6.50T 16%
$6.50T+ 16%
$13,437 Vol.
$13,437 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<$4.00T
6%
$4.00-$4.50T
9%
$4.50-$5.00T
15%
$5,00-$5,50T
17%
$5.50-$6.00T
19%
$6.00-$6.50T
16%
$6.50T+
16%
$5.50-$6.00T 19%
$5,00-$5,50T 17%
$6.00-$6.50T 16%
$6.50T+ 16%
$13,437 Vol.
$13,437 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<$4.00T
$3,033 Vol.
6%
$4.00-$4.50T
$904 Vol.
9%
$4.50-$5.00T
$923 Vol.
15%
$5,00-$5,50T
$2,174 Vol.
17%
$5.50-$6.00T
$3,407 Vol.
19%
$6.00-$6.50T
$1,297 Vol.
16%
$6.50T+
$1,699 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained hyperscaler AI capex and the August 2026 earnings beat that delivered $96.2 billion in quarterly revenue with 70% FY2028 growth guidance, anchoring trader consensus near the $5–6.5 trillion buckets. Blackwell volume and the early Vera Rubin ramp continue to expand the AI factory stack, yet rising custom ASIC deployments by Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, plus AMD’s inference gains, introduce share erosion risk that tempers upside odds. Antitrust scrutiny over the Groq licensing deal and China export limits add near-term volatility. With only three months until year-end, Q3 results and supply-constrained delivery metrics will likely determine whether the stock sustains momentum or compresses multiples amid elevated valuation.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volumen
$13,437Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained hyperscaler AI capex and the August 2026 earnings beat that delivered $96.2 billion in quarterly revenue with 70% FY2028 growth guidance, anchoring trader consensus near the $5–6.5 trillion buckets. Blackwell volume and the early Vera Rubin ramp continue to expand the AI factory stack, yet rising custom ASIC deployments by Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, plus AMD’s inference gains, introduce share erosion risk that tempers upside odds. Antitrust scrutiny over the Groq licensing deal and China export limits add near-term volatility. With only three months until year-end, Q3 results and supply-constrained delivery metrics will likely determine whether the stock sustains momentum or compresses multiples amid elevated valuation.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volumen
$13,437Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s current ~$5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained hyperscaler AI capex and the August 2026 earnings beat that delivered $96.2 billion in quarterly revenue with 70% FY2028 growth guidance, anchoring trader consensus near the $5–6.5 trillion buckets. Blackwell volume and the early Vera Rubin ramp continue to expand the AI factory stack, yet rising custom ASIC deployments by Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, plus AMD’s inference gains, introduce share erosion risk that tempers upside odds. Antitrust scrutiny over the Groq licensing deal and China export limits add near-term volatility. With only three months until year-end, Q3 results and supply-constrained delivery metrics will likely determine whether the stock sustains momentum or compresses multiples amid elevated valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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