Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, covering Tulsa and surrounding counties, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. With incumbent Kevin Hern running for Senate, the open seat drew a crowded Republican primary won by state Representative Mark Tedford after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew ahead of an August runoff. Democratic nominee John Croisant ran unopposed in his primary. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail on November 3. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unexpectedly low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOK-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$24,922 Vol.
$24,922 Vol.
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$24,922 Vol.
$24,922 Vol.
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, covering Tulsa and surrounding counties, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. With incumbent Kevin Hern running for Senate, the open seat drew a crowded Republican primary won by state Representative Mark Tedford after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew ahead of an August runoff. Democratic nominee John Croisant ran unopposed in his primary. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail on November 3. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unexpectedly low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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