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icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

68% probabilidad
Polymarket

$26,242 Vol.

68% probabilidad
Polymarket

$26,242 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, forms the core driver behind the 77.3% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company reports roughly $25 billion in annualized revenue from ChatGPT and related large language models, backed by strategic capital from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, plus ongoing releases such as GPT-5.4 that strengthen its competitive position. Traders view the planned 2026 listing—potentially as early as September—as the key catalyst that could push the valuation into the target range, though high cash burn and execution risks on infrastructure spending remain swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,242
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, forms the core driver behind the 77.3% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company reports roughly $25 billion in annualized revenue from ChatGPT and related large language models, backed by strategic capital from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, plus ongoing releases such as GPT-5.4 that strengthen its competitive position. Traders view the planned 2026 listing—potentially as early as September—as the key catalyst that could push the valuation into the target range, though high cash burn and execution risks on infrastructure spending remain swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,242
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 68% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 68¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" ha generado $26.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" es 68% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 68% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.