Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Oregon's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Janelle Bynum's reelection bid amid her fundraising dominance—$3 million raised versus Republican primary challengers' combined under $300,000 as of March. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Democratic, citing the district's leftward shift via Kamala Harris's solid 2024 presidential performance and lack of credible GOP opposition from Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and attorney Jonathan Lockwood. The May 19 Republican primary looms, but traders anticipate no major shift absent polling surprises or late developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOR-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OR-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
71%
Partido Republicano
9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$336 Vol.
71%
Partido Republicano
$96 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Oregon's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Janelle Bynum's reelection bid amid her fundraising dominance—$3 million raised versus Republican primary challengers' combined under $300,000 as of March. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Democratic, citing the district's leftward shift via Kamala Harris's solid 2024 presidential performance and lack of credible GOP opposition from Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and attorney Jonathan Lockwood. The May 19 Republican primary looms, but traders anticipate no major shift absent polling surprises or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$432Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Oregon's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Janelle Bynum's reelection bid amid her fundraising dominance—$3 million raised versus Republican primary challengers' combined under $300,000 as of March. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Democratic, citing the district's leftward shift via Kamala Harris's solid 2024 presidential performance and lack of credible GOP opposition from Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and attorney Jonathan Lockwood. The May 19 Republican primary looms, but traders anticipate no major shift absent polling surprises or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$432Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Oregon's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Janelle Bynum's reelection bid amid her fundraising dominance—$3 million raised versus Republican primary challengers' combined under $300,000 as of March. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Democratic, citing the district's leftward shift via Kamala Harris's solid 2024 presidential performance and lack of credible GOP opposition from Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and attorney Jonathan Lockwood. The May 19 Republican primary looms, but traders anticipate no major shift absent polling surprises or late developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes