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Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10

icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10

Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10

Janelle Stelson 99.2%

Michael Robinson <1%

Justin Douglas <1%

Jason Cass <1%

Polymarket

$24,244 Vol.

Janelle Stelson 99.2%

Michael Robinson <1%

Justin Douglas <1%

Jason Cass <1%

Polymarket

$24,244 Vol.

Janelle Stelson

$8,997 Vol.

99%

Michael Robinson

$1,785 Vol.

<1%

Justin Douglas

$1,628 Vol.

<1%

Jason Cass

$9,591 Vol.

<1%

William Lillich

$2,244 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson maintains a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, reflecting her substantial fundraising advantage, Democratic establishment endorsements, and strong name recognition from her narrow 2024 loss to Republican incumbent Scott Perry. With more than $3.3 million in cash on hand and over $1.3 million already spent, Stelson has outpaced challenger Justin Douglas, who has raised under $140,000 and lacks comparable institutional support. Recent reporting highlights Stelson’s moderate positioning and focus on general-election viability, while Douglas runs a lower-resourced progressive grassroots effort. Trader consensus in the market has consolidated around Stelson given the limited time remaining before ballots close and the absence of major late developments that might shift momentum in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$24,244
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson maintains a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, reflecting her substantial fundraising advantage, Democratic establishment endorsements, and strong name recognition from her narrow 2024 loss to Republican incumbent Scott Perry. With more than $3.3 million in cash on hand and over $1.3 million already spent, Stelson has outpaced challenger Justin Douglas, who has raised under $140,000 and lacks comparable institutional support. Recent reporting highlights Stelson’s moderate positioning and focus on general-election viability, while Douglas runs a lower-resourced progressive grassroots effort. Trader consensus in the market has consolidated around Stelson given the limited time remaining before ballots close and the absence of major late developments that might shift momentum in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$24,244
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Janelle Stelson" con 99%, seguido de "Michael Robinson" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" ha generado $24.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" es "Janelle Stelson" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Michael Robinson" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.