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icon for ¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?

¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?

icon for ¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?

¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?

Sí

62% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

62% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's close strategic partnership with Iran, reinforced by Vladimir Putin's April 2026 meeting with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid ongoing regional tensions, underpins the 74.5% trader consensus for a meeting by August 31. The scheduled Caspian Sea summit in Tehran on August 12 provides a clear near-term venue for high-level engagement, potentially including Iran's leadership, despite the conflict backdrop. Recent diplomacy, including Putin's comments on mediating tensions and sustained alliance pledges, signals continued direct contact. Traders weigh these established channels and the fixed August timeline against any last-minute disruptions from broader Middle East developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$952
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's close strategic partnership with Iran, reinforced by Vladimir Putin's April 2026 meeting with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid ongoing regional tensions, underpins the 74.5% trader consensus for a meeting by August 31. The scheduled Caspian Sea summit in Tehran on August 12 provides a clear near-term venue for high-level engagement, potentially including Iran's leadership, despite the conflict backdrop. Recent diplomacy, including Putin's comments on mediating tensions and sustained alliance pledges, signals continued direct contact. Traders weigh these established channels and the fixed August timeline against any last-minute disruptions from broader Middle East developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$952
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Putin se reúne con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?" con 61%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?" es "¿Putin se reúne con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.