Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Putin se reunirá con funcionarios iraníes antes del 31 de agosto?
Sí
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
Sí
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado final: Sí
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado final: Sí
Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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