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Richest person on December 31, 2026?

icon for Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Elon Musk 95%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Polymarket

$1,829,934 Vol.

Elon Musk 95%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Polymarket

$1,829,934 Vol.

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$149,836 Vol.

95%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$87,735 Vol.

1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$176,240 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$364,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$336,352 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$307,909 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$142,193 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$56,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$80,402 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$127,811 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s position as the clear frontrunner stems from his recent milestone as the world’s first trillionaire, fueled by SpaceX’s blockbuster June 2026 IPO that added hundreds of billions to his fortune alongside sustained Tesla gains. This has created an unprecedented wealth gap exceeding $800 billion over nearest rivals like Larry Page and Sergey Brin, whose Google holdings and other tech fortunes have not kept pace. Traders see limited room for others—such as Jensen Huang via Nvidia momentum or Bernard Arnault in luxury—to close the distance by year-end without extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a severe, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or synchronized surges elsewhere, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volumen
$1,829,934
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s position as the clear frontrunner stems from his recent milestone as the world’s first trillionaire, fueled by SpaceX’s blockbuster June 2026 IPO that added hundreds of billions to his fortune alongside sustained Tesla gains. This has created an unprecedented wealth gap exceeding $800 billion over nearest rivals like Larry Page and Sergey Brin, whose Google holdings and other tech fortunes have not kept pace. Traders see limited room for others—such as Jensen Huang via Nvidia momentum or Bernard Arnault in luxury—to close the distance by year-end without extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a severe, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or synchronized surges elsewhere, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volumen
$1,829,934
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Richest person on December 31, 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Elon Musk" con 95%, seguido de "Warren Buffett" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" ha generado $1.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Richest person on December 31, 2026?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" es "Elon Musk" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Warren Buffett" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.