Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOpenAI 32%
SpaceXAI 30%
ByteDance 27%
Anthropic 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
OpenAI
17%
SpaceXAI
30%
ByteDance
27%
Anthropic
26%
Xiaomi
26%
Baidu
25%
Meta
17%
Z.ai
16%
Microsoft
15%
Moonshot
14%
DeepSeek
14%
Alibaba
14%
Mistral
14%
14%
Tencent
14%
Amazon
9%
Nvidia
9%
MiniMax
5%
Meituan
4%
OpenAI 32%
SpaceXAI 30%
ByteDance 27%
Anthropic 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
OpenAI
$89 Vol.
17%
SpaceXAI
$33 Vol.
30%
ByteDance
$33 Vol.
27%
Anthropic
$53 Vol.
26%
Xiaomi
$33 Vol.
26%
Baidu
$33 Vol.
25%
Meta
$33 Vol.
17%
Z.ai
$33 Vol.
16%
Microsoft
$33 Vol.
15%
Moonshot
$33 Vol.
14%
DeepSeek
$33 Vol.
14%
Alibaba
$33 Vol.
14%
Mistral
$33 Vol.
14%
$33 Vol.
14%
Tencent
$33 Vol.
14%
Amazon
$33 Vol.
9%
Nvidia
$33 Vol.
9%
MiniMax
$33 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$33 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volumen
$700Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$700Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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