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Economía·Sudáfrica

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?

icon for ¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?
Economía·Sudáfrica

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?

may 28

may 28

Aumento 87.1%

Sin cambios 11%

Disminución 1.7%

Polymarket

$10,545 Vol.

Aumento 87.1%

Sin cambios 11%

Disminución 1.7%

Polymarket

$10,545 Vol.

Disminución

$2,146 Vol.

2%

Sin cambios

$3,955 Vol.

11%

Aumento

$4,444 Vol.

87%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in South African inflation and global energy markets have driven the 87.2% implied probability of a repo-rate increase at the South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Elevated fuel prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions have prompted upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, with headline CPI expected to approach 4% in the second quarter before easing toward the 3% target. Forward-rate agreements now price in a 25-basis-point hike from the current 6.75% level, aligning with revised outlooks from Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas that embed two such increases this year. April CPI data and ongoing volatility in oil markets remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate this hawkish repricing, while the 10.5% probability of no change reflects lingering uncertainty around the persistence of these supply-side shocks.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$10,545
Fecha de finalización
28 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in South African inflation and global energy markets have driven the 87.2% implied probability of a repo-rate increase at the South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Elevated fuel prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions have prompted upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, with headline CPI expected to approach 4% in the second quarter before easing toward the 3% target. Forward-rate agreements now price in a 25-basis-point hike from the current 6.75% level, aligning with revised outlooks from Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas that embed two such increases this year. April CPI data and ongoing volatility in oil markets remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate this hawkish repricing, while the 10.5% probability of no change reflects lingering uncertainty around the persistence of these supply-side shocks.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$10,545
Fecha de finalización
28 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aumento" con 87%, seguido de "Sin cambios" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" ha generado $10.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" es "Aumento" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sin cambios" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.