Ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DP) maintains a commanding lead in the June 3 by-elections for National Assembly seats because its national polling edge of roughly 45-48 percent against the People Power Party (PPP) at around 20 percent reflects sustained voter support tied to President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantages following its prior parliamentary gains and the ongoing fallout within the PPP over internal divisions and the previous administration’s controversies. Traders price the outcome heavily in DP’s favor given these structural trends and concurrent local election dynamics. Even so, a narrower margin could emerge if localized scandals involving DP figures surface or if the PPP consolidates support in competitive districts through unified candidacies, though such shifts would need unusually high turnout swings to alter the seat tally materially.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parciales de Corea del Sur: Ganador del partido
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 97.8%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 3.6%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP) <1%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
4%

Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
98%

Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP)
<1%

Partido Progresista (PP)
<1%

Partido de la Reforma (RP)
<1%
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 97.8%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 3.6%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP) <1%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
4%

Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
98%

Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP)
<1%

Partido Progresista (PP)
<1%

Partido de la Reforma (RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DP) maintains a commanding lead in the June 3 by-elections for National Assembly seats because its national polling edge of roughly 45-48 percent against the People Power Party (PPP) at around 20 percent reflects sustained voter support tied to President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantages following its prior parliamentary gains and the ongoing fallout within the PPP over internal divisions and the previous administration’s controversies. Traders price the outcome heavily in DP’s favor given these structural trends and concurrent local election dynamics. Even so, a narrower margin could emerge if localized scandals involving DP figures surface or if the PPP consolidates support in competitive districts through unified candidacies, though such shifts would need unusually high turnout swings to alter the seat tally materially.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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