The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages of 10 to 15 points over People Power Party candidates in key districts. These by-elections coincide with nationwide local contests where the Democratic Party is projected to secure most metropolitan governorships, reinforcing its structural edge through higher turnout expectations and unified candidate slates. Conservative setbacks tied to the prior administration’s martial law episode continue to constrain People Power Party momentum in swing areas. Late developments such as district-specific scandals, shifts in candidate unification among minor parties, or unusually strong conservative mobilization in traditional strongholds like parts of Busan or Daegu remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited scope for reversal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parciales de Corea del Sur: Ganador del partido
Elecciones parciales de Corea del Sur: Ganador del partido
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 97.4%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 3.0%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP) <1%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
3%
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
97%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP)
<1%
Partido Progresista (PP)
<1%
Partido de la Reforma (RP)
<1%
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 97.4%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 3.0%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP) <1%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
$1,902 Vol.
3%
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
$2,750 Vol.
97%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP)
$16,585 Vol.
<1%
Partido Progresista (PP)
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la Reforma (RP)
$21,873 Vol.
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages of 10 to 15 points over People Power Party candidates in key districts. These by-elections coincide with nationwide local contests where the Democratic Party is projected to secure most metropolitan governorships, reinforcing its structural edge through higher turnout expectations and unified candidate slates. Conservative setbacks tied to the prior administration’s martial law episode continue to constrain People Power Party momentum in swing areas. Late developments such as district-specific scandals, shifts in candidate unification among minor parties, or unusually strong conservative mobilization in traditional strongholds like parts of Busan or Daegu remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited scope for reversal.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volumen
$44,223Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages of 10 to 15 points over People Power Party candidates in key districts. These by-elections coincide with nationwide local contests where the Democratic Party is projected to secure most metropolitan governorships, reinforcing its structural edge through higher turnout expectations and unified candidate slates. Conservative setbacks tied to the prior administration’s martial law episode continue to constrain People Power Party momentum in swing areas. Late developments such as district-specific scandals, shifts in candidate unification among minor parties, or unusually strong conservative mobilization in traditional strongholds like parts of Busan or Daegu remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited scope for reversal.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Volumen
$44,223Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages of 10 to 15 points over People Power Party candidates in key districts. These by-elections coincide with nationwide local contests where the Democratic Party is projected to secure most metropolitan governorships, reinforcing its structural edge through higher turnout expectations and unified candidate slates. Conservative setbacks tied to the prior administration’s martial law episode continue to constrain People Power Party momentum in swing areas. Late developments such as district-specific scandals, shifts in candidate unification among minor parties, or unusually strong conservative mobilization in traditional strongholds like parts of Busan or Daegu remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited scope for reversal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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