SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded in a tight $140–$150 range in early September 2026, with the September 4 close at $147.95, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for the week’s settlement in the $145–$150 and $150–$155 bands. The primary near-term catalyst remains the September 9 lock-up expiration releasing roughly 319 million shares, which follows earlier tranches and has historically coincided with elevated volatility around the post-IPO range of $135–$225. Traders are balancing robust Starlink subscriber growth and new government contracts against elevated valuation multiples near 87 times trailing sales and the company’s ongoing capital-intensive expansion. Additional September unlocks and any follow-through from recent analyst price targets averaging above $220 add further uncertainty to the week’s closing level.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$145-$150 25%
$150-$155 24%
$155-$160 15%
$140-$145 15%
< $125
9%
$125-$130
11%
$130-$135
12%
$135-$140
8%
$140-$145
15%
$145-$150
25%
$150-$155
24%
$155-$160
15%
$160-$165
8%
$165-$170
11%
>$170
7%
$145-$150 25%
$150-$155 24%
$155-$160 15%
$140-$145 15%
< $125
9%
$125-$130
11%
$130-$135
12%
$135-$140
8%
$140-$145
15%
$145-$150
25%
$150-$155
24%
$155-$160
15%
$160-$165
8%
$165-$170
11%
>$170
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded in a tight $140–$150 range in early September 2026, with the September 4 close at $147.95, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for the week’s settlement in the $145–$150 and $150–$155 bands. The primary near-term catalyst remains the September 9 lock-up expiration releasing roughly 319 million shares, which follows earlier tranches and has historically coincided with elevated volatility around the post-IPO range of $135–$225. Traders are balancing robust Starlink subscriber growth and new government contracts against elevated valuation multiples near 87 times trailing sales and the company’s ongoing capital-intensive expansion. Additional September unlocks and any follow-through from recent analyst price targets averaging above $220 add further uncertainty to the week’s closing level.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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