Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI at 3.4% annually and resilient corporate earnings, particularly from AI-driven technology names, which support full-year 2026 EPS growth estimates of 20-25%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with markets pricing in a balance between persistent inflation pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions and expectations for steady or modestly higher policy rates. Analyst year-end 2026 targets range from 7,100 at BofA to 8,000-plus at several major firms, underscoring uncertainty around inflation trajectory, labor data, and the September and December FOMC meetings as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$298,703 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ $8,600
12%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
89%
↓ $7,400
64%
↓ $7,200
62%
↓ $7,000
59%
↓ $6,200
19%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
11%
↓ $5,200
8%
↓ $4,500
4%
$298,703 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ $9,300
$8,425 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 Vol.
7%
↑ $8,600
$26,235 Vol.
12%
↑ $8,200
$21,425 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$200 Vol.
89%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
64%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
59%
↓ $6,200
$41,962 Vol.
19%
↓ $6,000
$0 Vol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$36,628 Vol.
11%
↓ $5,200
$49,384 Vol.
8%
↓ $4,500
$54,186 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI at 3.4% annually and resilient corporate earnings, particularly from AI-driven technology names, which support full-year 2026 EPS growth estimates of 20-25%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with markets pricing in a balance between persistent inflation pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions and expectations for steady or modestly higher policy rates. Analyst year-end 2026 targets range from 7,100 at BofA to 8,000-plus at several major firms, underscoring uncertainty around inflation trajectory, labor data, and the September and December FOMC meetings as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$298,703Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI at 3.4% annually and resilient corporate earnings, particularly from AI-driven technology names, which support full-year 2026 EPS growth estimates of 20-25%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with markets pricing in a balance between persistent inflation pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions and expectations for steady or modestly higher policy rates. Analyst year-end 2026 targets range from 7,100 at BofA to 8,000-plus at several major firms, underscoring uncertainty around inflation trajectory, labor data, and the September and December FOMC meetings as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$298,703Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect cooling July CPI at 3.4% annually and resilient corporate earnings, particularly from AI-driven technology names, which support full-year 2026 EPS growth estimates of 20-25%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with markets pricing in a balance between persistent inflation pressures from energy costs and geopolitical tensions and expectations for steady or modestly higher policy rates. Analyst year-end 2026 targets range from 7,100 at BofA to 8,000-plus at several major firms, underscoring uncertainty around inflation trajectory, labor data, and the September and December FOMC meetings as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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