Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect softer-than-expected July PPI and CPI readings that lowered near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike odds, with markets assigning roughly 63% probability of no change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The index has advanced about 14% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, and a Fed funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Analyst consensus targets for year-end 2026 cluster between 7,550 and 8,100, supported by projected double-digit EPS expansion but tempered by elevated valuations and any reacceleration in inflation. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, subsequent economic releases, and Q3 earnings reports that will test whether earnings momentum can sustain current levels into December.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$298,710 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ $8,600
12%
↑ $8,200
31%
↑ $8,000
89%
↓ $7,400
64%
↓ $7,200
62%
↓ $7,000
59%
↓ $6,200
19%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
11%
↓ $5,200
8%
↓ $4,500
4%
$298,710 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ $9,300
$8,425 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 Vol.
7%
↑ $8,600
$26,235 Vol.
12%
↑ $8,200
$21,425 Vol.
31%
↑ $8,000
$207 Vol.
89%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
64%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
59%
↓ $6,200
$41,962 Vol.
19%
↓ $6,000
$0 Vol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$36,628 Vol.
11%
↓ $5,200
$49,384 Vol.
8%
↓ $4,500
$54,186 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect softer-than-expected July PPI and CPI readings that lowered near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike odds, with markets assigning roughly 63% probability of no change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The index has advanced about 14% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, and a Fed funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Analyst consensus targets for year-end 2026 cluster between 7,550 and 8,100, supported by projected double-digit EPS expansion but tempered by elevated valuations and any reacceleration in inflation. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, subsequent economic releases, and Q3 earnings reports that will test whether earnings momentum can sustain current levels into December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$298,710Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect softer-than-expected July PPI and CPI readings that lowered near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike odds, with markets assigning roughly 63% probability of no change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The index has advanced about 14% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, and a Fed funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Analyst consensus targets for year-end 2026 cluster between 7,550 and 8,100, supported by projected double-digit EPS expansion but tempered by elevated valuations and any reacceleration in inflation. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, subsequent economic releases, and Q3 earnings reports that will test whether earnings momentum can sustain current levels into December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$298,710Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent record highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500 reflect softer-than-expected July PPI and CPI readings that lowered near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike odds, with markets assigning roughly 63% probability of no change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The index has advanced about 14% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, and a Fed funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Analyst consensus targets for year-end 2026 cluster between 7,550 and 8,100, supported by projected double-digit EPS expansion but tempered by elevated valuations and any reacceleration in inflation. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC decision, subsequent economic releases, and Q3 earnings reports that will test whether earnings momentum can sustain current levels into December.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes