OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra locked in the Code Arena WebDev top spot with a 35-point lead, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models hold a clear second. Trader consensus for third place remains fragmented around 50% implied odds across multiple labs because Chinese models from Alibaba (Qwen variants) and Moonshot (Kimi K3) sit just 100–130 points behind on the lab-aggregated leaderboard, with strong showings in agentic, multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meta, and Google trail closely enough that any near-term model update or arena vote surge could reorder the middle pack before November resolution. Poolside, Mistral, and smaller labs trade at lower odds due to larger gaps in demonstrated web-dev agent performance and recent release cadence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDeepSeek 29%
Moonshot 26%
Meta 24%
Z.ai 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
DeepSeek
29%
Moonshot
26%
Meta
24%
Z.ai
24%
Thinky
18%
OpenAI
16%
Alibaba
16%
Poolside
15%
Mistral
14%
Anthropic
14%
SpaceXAI
14%
14%
Xiaomi
13%
Tencent
13%
ByteDance
10%
MiniMax
9%
DeepSeek 29%
Moonshot 26%
Meta 24%
Z.ai 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
29%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
26%
Meta
$0 Vol.
24%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
24%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
16%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
16%
Poolside
$0 Vol.
15%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
14%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
14%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
14%
$0 Vol.
14%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
13%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
13%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
10%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra locked in the Code Arena WebDev top spot with a 35-point lead, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models hold a clear second. Trader consensus for third place remains fragmented around 50% implied odds across multiple labs because Chinese models from Alibaba (Qwen variants) and Moonshot (Kimi K3) sit just 100–130 points behind on the lab-aggregated leaderboard, with strong showings in agentic, multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meta, and Google trail closely enough that any near-term model update or arena vote surge could reorder the middle pack before November resolution. Poolside, Mistral, and smaller labs trade at lower odds due to larger gaps in demonstrated web-dev agent performance and recent release cadence.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra locked in the Code Arena WebDev top spot with a 35-point lead, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models hold a clear second. Trader consensus for third place remains fragmented around 50% implied odds across multiple labs because Chinese models from Alibaba (Qwen variants) and Moonshot (Kimi K3) sit just 100–130 points behind on the lab-aggregated leaderboard, with strong showings in agentic, multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meta, and Google trail closely enough that any near-term model update or arena vote surge could reorder the middle pack before November resolution. Poolside, Mistral, and smaller labs trade at lower odds due to larger gaps in demonstrated web-dev agent performance and recent release cadence.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra locked in the Code Arena WebDev top spot with a 35-point lead, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models hold a clear second. Trader consensus for third place remains fragmented around 50% implied odds across multiple labs because Chinese models from Alibaba (Qwen variants) and Moonshot (Kimi K3) sit just 100–130 points behind on the lab-aggregated leaderboard, with strong showings in agentic, multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meta, and Google trail closely enough that any near-term model update or arena vote surge could reorder the middle pack before November resolution. Poolside, Mistral, and smaller labs trade at lower odds due to larger gaps in demonstrated web-dev agent performance and recent release cadence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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