Recent UK CPI data showing a decline to 2.6% in June 2026 has tempered near-term readings, yet Bank of England projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate a pickup to 3.2% by Q4, driven primarily by indirect effects from elevated global energy prices amid Middle East tensions and associated supply pressures. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the closely contested 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% brackets capturing divergent views on the persistence of imported inflation versus cooling domestic demand and base effects. Key swing factors include the trajectory of wholesale energy costs, upcoming July CPI release on August 19, and any shifts in Bank Rate expectations around the 3.75% level, which could influence wage and services price dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual del Reino Unido 2026
Inflación anual del Reino Unido 2026
3,5–3,9% 27.1%
2,5–2,9% 23.4%
4,0-4,4% 12%
4,5%+ 8%
$50,631 Vol.
$50,631 Vol.
20 ene 2027
<1,0%
<1%
1,0–1,4%
4%
1,5–1,9%
2%
2,0–2,4%
5%
2,5–2,9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3,5–3,9%
27%
4,0-4,4%
12%
4,5%+
8%
3,5–3,9% 27.1%
2,5–2,9% 23.4%
4,0-4,4% 12%
4,5%+ 8%
$50,631 Vol.
$50,631 Vol.
20 ene 2027
<1,0%
$876 Vol.
<1%
1,0–1,4%
$1,193 Vol.
4%
1,5–1,9%
$554 Vol.
2%
2,0–2,4%
$4,040 Vol.
5%
2,5–2,9%
$13,417 Vol.
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 Vol.
-
3,5–3,9%
$19,336 Vol.
27%
4,0-4,4%
$3,426 Vol.
12%
4,5%+
$7,790 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data showing a decline to 2.6% in June 2026 has tempered near-term readings, yet Bank of England projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate a pickup to 3.2% by Q4, driven primarily by indirect effects from elevated global energy prices amid Middle East tensions and associated supply pressures. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the closely contested 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% brackets capturing divergent views on the persistence of imported inflation versus cooling domestic demand and base effects. Key swing factors include the trajectory of wholesale energy costs, upcoming July CPI release on August 19, and any shifts in Bank Rate expectations around the 3.75% level, which could influence wage and services price dynamics.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$50,631Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data showing a decline to 2.6% in June 2026 has tempered near-term readings, yet Bank of England projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate a pickup to 3.2% by Q4, driven primarily by indirect effects from elevated global energy prices amid Middle East tensions and associated supply pressures. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the closely contested 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% brackets capturing divergent views on the persistence of imported inflation versus cooling domestic demand and base effects. Key swing factors include the trajectory of wholesale energy costs, upcoming July CPI release on August 19, and any shifts in Bank Rate expectations around the 3.75% level, which could influence wage and services price dynamics.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Volumen
$50,631Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI data showing a decline to 2.6% in June 2026 has tempered near-term readings, yet Bank of England projections in its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate a pickup to 3.2% by Q4, driven primarily by indirect effects from elevated global energy prices amid Middle East tensions and associated supply pressures. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the closely contested 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% brackets capturing divergent views on the persistence of imported inflation versus cooling domestic demand and base effects. Key swing factors include the trajectory of wholesale energy costs, upcoming July CPI release on August 19, and any shifts in Bank Rate expectations around the 3.75% level, which could influence wage and services price dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes