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icon for US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

icon for US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$18,353 Vol.

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$18,353 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **Bipartisan bills to restrict congressional stock trading, such as the Stop Insider Trading Act, advanced through House and Senate committees in early 2026 but stalled without floor votes or passage amid disagreements over scope, enforcement, and exemptions.** Multiple measures, including discharge petitions and calls for immediate rules changes, failed to secure sufficient support, with one petition stalling at 82 signatures as midterms approached. Recent introductions in March and May 2026 and ongoing advocacy from members across parties have kept the issue visible, yet procedural hurdles, competing priorities, and election-year dynamics have prevented enactment. With the 119th Congress focused on narrower transparency steps rather than outright prohibitions, traders assign only an 8.5% chance of a ban clearing both chambers and the White House before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,353
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **Bipartisan bills to restrict congressional stock trading, such as the Stop Insider Trading Act, advanced through House and Senate committees in early 2026 but stalled without floor votes or passage amid disagreements over scope, enforcement, and exemptions.** Multiple measures, including discharge petitions and calls for immediate rules changes, failed to secure sufficient support, with one petition stalling at 82 signatures as midterms approached. Recent introductions in March and May 2026 and ongoing advocacy from members across parties have kept the issue visible, yet procedural hurdles, competing priorities, and election-year dynamics have prevented enactment. With the 119th Congress focused on narrower transparency steps rather than outright prohibitions, traders assign only an 8.5% chance of a ban clearing both chambers and the White House before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,353
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 11% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 11¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" ha generado $18.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" es 11% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 11% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.