The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under heightened security restrictions since February 2026, when the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members amid rising regional tensions with Iran and volatility in Lebanon. Multiple subsequent alerts through April urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and advised against reliance on U.S. government assistance for any future departure. Ongoing airstrikes in southern Lebanon, the Beqaa Valley, and parts of Beirut, combined with proximity to borders and Hezbollah-linked areas, have sustained the Level 4 travel advisory. No full embassy closure or comprehensive evacuation has occurred, and the commercial airport has remained operational. Trader assessments of whether a broader withdrawal is ordered by a target date hinge on diplomatic signals, Iranian actions, Israeli operations, and any escalation in the security environment over coming weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos evacua la embajada de Beirut por...?
¿Estados Unidos evacua la embajada de Beirut por...?
$117,489 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
4%
$117,489 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$23,387 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under heightened security restrictions since February 2026, when the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members amid rising regional tensions with Iran and volatility in Lebanon. Multiple subsequent alerts through April urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and advised against reliance on U.S. government assistance for any future departure. Ongoing airstrikes in southern Lebanon, the Beqaa Valley, and parts of Beirut, combined with proximity to borders and Hezbollah-linked areas, have sustained the Level 4 travel advisory. No full embassy closure or comprehensive evacuation has occurred, and the commercial airport has remained operational. Trader assessments of whether a broader withdrawal is ordered by a target date hinge on diplomatic signals, Iranian actions, Israeli operations, and any escalation in the security environment over coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$117,489Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under heightened security restrictions since February 2026, when the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members amid rising regional tensions with Iran and volatility in Lebanon. Multiple subsequent alerts through April urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and advised against reliance on U.S. government assistance for any future departure. Ongoing airstrikes in southern Lebanon, the Beqaa Valley, and parts of Beirut, combined with proximity to borders and Hezbollah-linked areas, have sustained the Level 4 travel advisory. No full embassy closure or comprehensive evacuation has occurred, and the commercial airport has remained operational. Trader assessments of whether a broader withdrawal is ordered by a target date hinge on diplomatic signals, Iranian actions, Israeli operations, and any escalation in the security environment over coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$117,489Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under heightened security restrictions since February 2026, when the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members amid rising regional tensions with Iran and volatility in Lebanon. Multiple subsequent alerts through April urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and advised against reliance on U.S. government assistance for any future departure. Ongoing airstrikes in southern Lebanon, the Beqaa Valley, and parts of Beirut, combined with proximity to borders and Hezbollah-linked areas, have sustained the Level 4 travel advisory. No full embassy closure or comprehensive evacuation has occurred, and the commercial airport has remained operational. Trader assessments of whether a broader withdrawal is ordered by a target date hinge on diplomatic signals, Iranian actions, Israeli operations, and any escalation in the security environment over coming weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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