Ongoing security risks from Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, including recent artillery and airstrikes near border areas, continue to shape the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A U.S.-brokered framework agreement signed in June 2026 calls for phased Israeli withdrawals from select zones in exchange for expanded Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament, yet implementation has stalled amid mutual accusations and persistent strikes. The embassy has operated under ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026 while retaining core diplomatic staff, consistent with Level 4 travel advisories and limited consular services. Recent ambassador visits to pilot zones underscore sustained U.S. engagement supporting Lebanese state authority. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute escalation that would trigger full evacuation, though renewed clashes or breakdown in deconfliction talks could alter assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos evacua la embajada de Beirut por...?
¿Estados Unidos evacua la embajada de Beirut por...?
$119,473 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
9%
$119,473 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$25,371 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing security risks from Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, including recent artillery and airstrikes near border areas, continue to shape the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A U.S.-brokered framework agreement signed in June 2026 calls for phased Israeli withdrawals from select zones in exchange for expanded Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament, yet implementation has stalled amid mutual accusations and persistent strikes. The embassy has operated under ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026 while retaining core diplomatic staff, consistent with Level 4 travel advisories and limited consular services. Recent ambassador visits to pilot zones underscore sustained U.S. engagement supporting Lebanese state authority. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute escalation that would trigger full evacuation, though renewed clashes or breakdown in deconfliction talks could alter assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$119,473Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing security risks from Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, including recent artillery and airstrikes near border areas, continue to shape the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A U.S.-brokered framework agreement signed in June 2026 calls for phased Israeli withdrawals from select zones in exchange for expanded Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament, yet implementation has stalled amid mutual accusations and persistent strikes. The embassy has operated under ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026 while retaining core diplomatic staff, consistent with Level 4 travel advisories and limited consular services. Recent ambassador visits to pilot zones underscore sustained U.S. engagement supporting Lebanese state authority. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute escalation that would trigger full evacuation, though renewed clashes or breakdown in deconfliction talks could alter assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$119,473Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing security risks from Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, including recent artillery and airstrikes near border areas, continue to shape the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A U.S.-brokered framework agreement signed in June 2026 calls for phased Israeli withdrawals from select zones in exchange for expanded Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament, yet implementation has stalled amid mutual accusations and persistent strikes. The embassy has operated under ordered departure status for non-essential personnel since February 2026 while retaining core diplomatic staff, consistent with Level 4 travel advisories and limited consular services. Recent ambassador visits to pilot zones underscore sustained U.S. engagement supporting Lebanese state authority. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute escalation that would trigger full evacuation, though renewed clashes or breakdown in deconfliction talks could alter assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes