Utah's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination following the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the GOP nominee a commanding implied probability. Key drivers include the district's voter composition, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or high-profile developments that would narrow the contest. A realistic challenge to the current consensus would require a major candidate-specific event, such as an ethics issue or resignation, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
UT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,898 Vol.
$12,898 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$12,898 Vol.
$12,898 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,441 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$10,458 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination following the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the GOP nominee a commanding implied probability. Key drivers include the district's voter composition, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or high-profile developments that would narrow the contest. A realistic challenge to the current consensus would require a major candidate-specific event, such as an ethics issue or resignation, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$12,898Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination following the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the GOP nominee a commanding implied probability. Key drivers include the district's voter composition, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or high-profile developments that would narrow the contest. A realistic challenge to the current consensus would require a major candidate-specific event, such as an ethics issue or resignation, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,898Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination following the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the GOP nominee a commanding implied probability. Key drivers include the district's voter composition, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or high-profile developments that would narrow the contest. A realistic challenge to the current consensus would require a major candidate-specific event, such as an ethics issue or resignation, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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