Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and decision to seek a sixth term anchor trader consensus in the Vermont gubernatorial race. Scott secured reelection in 2024 with 73% of the vote and consistently ranks among the nation's most popular governors, drawing support across party lines in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Republican. Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards entered the race in spring 2026, yet neither has shifted polling or fundraising momentum ahead of the August 11 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and Scott's incumbency advantage continue to shape the current implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$26,342 Vol.
$26,342 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
86%
Demócrata
14%
$26,342 Vol.
$26,342 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$15,909 Vol.
86%
Demócrata
$10,434 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and decision to seek a sixth term anchor trader consensus in the Vermont gubernatorial race. Scott secured reelection in 2024 with 73% of the vote and consistently ranks among the nation's most popular governors, drawing support across party lines in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Republican. Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards entered the race in spring 2026, yet neither has shifted polling or fundraising momentum ahead of the August 11 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and Scott's incumbency advantage continue to shape the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$26,342Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and decision to seek a sixth term anchor trader consensus in the Vermont gubernatorial race. Scott secured reelection in 2024 with 73% of the vote and consistently ranks among the nation's most popular governors, drawing support across party lines in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Republican. Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards entered the race in spring 2026, yet neither has shifted polling or fundraising momentum ahead of the August 11 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and Scott's incumbency advantage continue to shape the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$26,342Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and decision to seek a sixth term anchor trader consensus in the Vermont gubernatorial race. Scott secured reelection in 2024 with 73% of the vote and consistently ranks among the nation's most popular governors, drawing support across party lines in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Republican. Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards entered the race in spring 2026, yet neither has shifted polling or fundraising momentum ahead of the August 11 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and Scott's incumbency advantage continue to shape the current implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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