Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Alaska summit between Presidents Trump and Putin has largely dissipated amid stalled Ukraine peace efforts and escalating battlefield developments through mid-2026. Recent reporting highlights cooled bilateral contacts since a July 2026 phone call that yielded no follow-up venue commitments, with the ongoing conflict showing no breakthrough toward formal negotiations. This backdrop drives the 61% trader consensus on no meeting by year-end, while the 32.5% on China reflects speculation around neutral third-party sites despite lacking confirmed signals. Low probabilities on U.S. or European locations align with historical precedent favoring non-Western venues when relations remain strained and no G20 or bilateral schedule has materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 61%
China 33%
United States 4.0%
Gulf country <1%
$490,258 Vol.
$490,258 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
61%

China
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Other EU country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 61%
China 33%
United States 4.0%
Gulf country <1%
$490,258 Vol.
$490,258 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
61%

China
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Other EU country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Alaska summit between Presidents Trump and Putin has largely dissipated amid stalled Ukraine peace efforts and escalating battlefield developments through mid-2026. Recent reporting highlights cooled bilateral contacts since a July 2026 phone call that yielded no follow-up venue commitments, with the ongoing conflict showing no breakthrough toward formal negotiations. This backdrop drives the 61% trader consensus on no meeting by year-end, while the 32.5% on China reflects speculation around neutral third-party sites despite lacking confirmed signals. Low probabilities on U.S. or European locations align with historical precedent favoring non-Western venues when relations remain strained and no G20 or bilateral schedule has materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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