Trump and Putin last met in person at the August 2025 Alaska summit aimed at Ukraine peace talks, but that effort produced no agreement and relations have since stalled amid continued fighting and mutual disillusionment. Recent July 2026 phone contacts confirmed only vague future discussions without scheduling an in-person follow-up, while Ukraine’s strikes on Russian territory and European efforts to secure a seat in any talks have complicated bilateral momentum. Traders assign the highest probability to no 2026 meeting by year-end because structural barriers—unresolved territorial disputes, sanctions dynamics, and competing priorities such as Iran policy—persist without a clear diplomatic breakthrough. China leads alternative venues as a plausible neutral site consistent with Putin’s established pattern of high-level engagement there, whereas U.S. or European locations face domestic and alliance constraints that lower their implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 63%
China 33%
United States 3.4%
Gulf country <1%
$490,159 Vol.
$490,159 Vol.
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
63%
China
33%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Other EU country
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 63%
China 33%
United States 3.4%
Gulf country <1%
$490,159 Vol.
$490,159 Vol.
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
63%
China
33%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Other EU country
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump and Putin last met in person at the August 2025 Alaska summit aimed at Ukraine peace talks, but that effort produced no agreement and relations have since stalled amid continued fighting and mutual disillusionment. Recent July 2026 phone contacts confirmed only vague future discussions without scheduling an in-person follow-up, while Ukraine’s strikes on Russian territory and European efforts to secure a seat in any talks have complicated bilateral momentum. Traders assign the highest probability to no 2026 meeting by year-end because structural barriers—unresolved territorial disputes, sanctions dynamics, and competing priorities such as Iran policy—persist without a clear diplomatic breakthrough. China leads alternative venues as a plausible neutral site consistent with Putin’s established pattern of high-level engagement there, whereas U.S. or European locations face domestic and alliance constraints that lower their implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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