**SPC convective outlooks for October 13, 2026, placed the highest tornado probabilities (2–5%) across parts of Kansas and western Missouri, highlighting Wichita, Kansas City, Topeka, Hutchinson, and Newton as the primary cities in slight-risk areas.** Moderate instability and increasing low-level shear near a sharpening surface front, supported by southwesterly mid-level flow, created conditions for supercells capable of isolated tornadoes alongside large hail and damaging winds. Tornado odds remained low overall, with severe wind and hail as the dominant threats per NWS Storm Prediction Center guidance. Traders monitoring real-time model runs and mesoscale discussions would watch for any late-day upgrades or confirmed reports that could shift implied probabilities for specific metro areas.